It's still six months away but I think the election results in November are already set in stone.
Obama is going to be the Democrat nominee--unless Hillary finally loses control and decapitates him prior to the convention. Look for Obama to pick a VP candidate that is an elected politician and has Washington experience. He's smart enough to know he needs that to counter the inexperience argument against him. He can blow the whole thing with his choice though. Hillary would be an albatross that would sink him. Any other woman or minority will do the same.
Of course John McCain will be the Republican nominee. He'll need the opposite VP candidate from what Obama needs. He needs a young comer from the Republican party to counter the argument against his age. I don't know of any such young comers in the GOP but somebody will dig up one. He can blow this pick too by picking another McCain type established politician with some age on him. But look for McCain to play up his experience, military experience and POW experience against Obama's lack of all that. And well he should.
Obama will win the majority of the debates against McCain. Maybe all of them. He's a polished speaker and doesn't melt under pressure. Unlike Al Gore who was stage managed into phoniness, Obama will overcome that same type management and pull off looking as what you see is what you get. I'm in charge and in control. Follow my lead.
Having said all of that the vote will be close but not that close. Unless the economy turns around and I think that's very unlikely, it's going to be Obama. He'll even take some Southern states. The country has just had enough of high gas prices, foreclosures, high food prices, war, budget deficits, various scandals, energy issues and Cheneys and Rumsfelds. So many issues in so little time. Bush and Cheney have set the Reagan revolution way back and it won't return for a very long time.
President Barack Obama.
A year from now that isn't going to sound as strange as it does now.
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Lewis - Your thoughts and predictions may be on the money - but what just astounds me is the implication that high gas prices, high food prices, foreclousures, etc are the Republican party's fault. I am almost hoping for a Democratic president, so that when the prices don't drop, then whose fault will it be? What scares me the most about Obama is exactly what you said - his lack of leadership and experience. I am soon to have a son in the military - and I would really appreciate that the Commander in Chief have some experience, before he has my son's life in his hands.
Posted by: Katherine at May 19, 2008 1:11:39 PM
K, best of luck to your son. He'll be fine, I'm sure.
Posted by: Lewis at May 19, 2008 4:23:52 PM
"The country has just had enough of high gas prices, foreclosures, high food prices, war, budget deficits, various scandals, energy issues and Cheneys and Rumsfelds."
That may be true, Lewis, but it's hard to see how the Obamessiah's brand of socialism is going to fix any of that. If anything, it's only going to get worse.
Posted by: Pete (Alois) at May 22, 2008 2:27:29 PM
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